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3

Dolos Dream

3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 11 · OR 80

Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Speedy sort. Overcame a wide draw to make a winning handicap debut at Pontefract (5f) in June. Advanced her form when runner-up at York prior to shaping better than the 6¼-length distance in a better event there latest. Weighted to go well on first start against her elders.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 17/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f Std 12817/1144 @ Newcastle 09/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f Std 1289/1245 @ Wolverhampton 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 74 · 5f21y Std 133 · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 74 par26/125OR 745 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 73 · 5f3y Goo 134 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 73 par2/065OR 735 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f17y Sft 139 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 73 par12/065OR 734 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 76 · 5f89y Goo 131 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 76 par24/074OR 762 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 81 · 5f Goo 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 81 par19/082OR 81projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19York29th7th+2
2026-07-24York42nd2nd0
2026-06-12Chester55th6th−1
2026-06-02Pontefract51st2nd−1
2025-12-26Wolverhampton53rd4th−1
2025-12-09Newcastle41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/112/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 42/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/20252nd14/126%80%+0.54
09/12/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
26/12/20253rd9/276%78%+0.01
02/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
12/06/20265th9/488%43%-0.45
24/07/20262nd10/382%91%+0.08
19/08/20269th12/137%56%+0.19