Emperor Caradoc
7yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 68
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Ripon | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Beverley | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Pontefract | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/5 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 26/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |