7

Mo Of Cairo

3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 78

Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped as if a second career win is nearing when runner-up (well backed) at Musselburgh (5f, good) 3 days ago, sticking to the task well having been briefly checked in his run. Likely strong pace will suit on that evidence and he has to be high on the shortlist.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f Gd 13321/0645 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 1332 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 81 par20/082OR 813 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 84 · 6f6y Gd 134 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 84 par17/054OR 843 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 6f12y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 82 par2 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 81 par9/072OR 814 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 79 · 6f2y Gd 134 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Musselburgh 30/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 78 · 5f1y GS 135 · beat its mark30/09/2026 · OR 78 par30/094OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Musselburgh42nd2nd0
2026-09-13Doncaster45th5th0
2026-07-09Newmarket29th7th+2
2026-06-01Windsor34th3rd+1
2026-05-17Hamilton46th6th0
2026-04-18Thirsk36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0618/049/0730/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20253rd5/696%67%-0.29
05/07/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
20/08/20252nd22/10%94%+0.94
18/04/20266th7/163%62%-0.02
17/05/20266th8/158%62%+0.04
01/06/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
09/07/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
13/09/20265th17/255%73%+0.18
30/09/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05