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9

Sports Coach

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 76

Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went close to landing a first turf success when second in a big-field handicap at York in late-July. Form of his subsequent close fourth here hasn't worked out, though, and he ran poorly on return to York last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 5f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 82 par15/043OR 823 @ Thirsk 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 81 par2 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 21 · OR 79 · 5f Gd 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 79 par14/052OR 792 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 78 · 5f Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 21 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 76 par13/064OR 765 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 75 · 5f Sta 135 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 75 · 5f Goo 161 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 75 par25/074OR 753 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 5f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 77 · 5f89y GS 135 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 77 par6/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York416th16th0
2026-08-08Redcar34th3rd+1
2026-07-25York42nd2nd0
2026-06-26Newcastle52nd3rd−1
2026-06-13York48th8th0
2026-05-23York29th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0423/0525/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 75/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
02/05/20268th15/261%22%-0.38
14/05/20266th11/142%75%+0.33
23/05/20269th20/10%47%+0.47
13/06/20268th25/10%65%+0.65
26/06/20262nd15/890%91%+0.01
25/07/20262nd9/276%94%+0.17
08/08/20264th9/488%25%-0.63
06/09/202616th14/126%25%-0.01