2

Sugar Hill Babe

6yo Mare · 9-10 · Draw 1 · OR 86

Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went with zest/better than ever when winning in similar company at Nottingham (5f) in May. Reported to have bled when trailing the field there the following month. This could be the time to catch her (good record when fresh).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 85 · 5f Gd 142 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 85 par21/064OR 854 @ Ascot 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 139 · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 84 par3 @ Redcar 09/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 82 · 5f GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 82 par9/083OR 823 @ Newbury 16/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 83 · 5f34y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ Redcar 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 83 · 5f Goo 134 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 83 par4/104OR 834 @ Southwell 24/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 81 · 4f214y Std 134 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ Musselburgh 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 5f1y Goo 134 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 79 par29/044OR 794 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 5f8y Goo 137 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Nottingham 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 86 · 5f8y Goo 143 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 86 par20/064OR 86projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Nottingham46th6th0
2026-05-31Nottingham41st1st0
2026-04-29Musselburgh42nd2nd0
2025-10-24Southwell49th9th0
2025-10-04Redcar46th6th0
2025-08-16Newbury311th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0616/0829/0420/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 43/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength32%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20253rd11/486%67%-0.19
25/07/20254th9/153%57%+0.05
09/08/20252nd7/282%88%+0.06
16/08/202511th7/163%0%-0.63
04/10/20256th12/137%44%+0.08
24/10/20259th25/10%0%0.00
29/04/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
31/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
20/06/20266th11/486%0%-0.86