2

Sugar Hill Babe
6yo Mare · 9-10 · Draw 1 · OR 86
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Nottingham | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Southwell | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Newbury | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 43/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |