
Belmira
5yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 86
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Lone Star | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 04/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |