3

Belmira

5yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 86

Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Remington Park 01/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f110y Fm 124 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 75 par1/11C8OR 75C8 @ Remington Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 75 parC8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 04/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark04/01/2026 · OR 78 par4/01C8OR 78C5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 31/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Lone Star 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 74 · 1m Gd 124 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 74 par26/04C8OR 74C8 @ Lone Star 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 76 · 7f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Lone Star 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 77 · 7f110y Gd 124 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/05C8OR 77C8 @ Lone Star 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Remington Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m 121 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 83 par19/09C8OR 83projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Remington Park?4th4th0
2026-07-05Lone Star?4th4th0
2026-05-23Lone Star?3rd3rd0
2026-05-09Lone Star?1st1st0
2026-04-26Lone Star?3rd3rd0
2026-01-31Sam Houston Race Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1131/0123/0519/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20258th6/168%13%-0.56
07/11/20254th11/486%63%-0.23
04/01/20267th7/163%14%-0.49
31/01/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
26/04/20263rd4/179%33%-0.46
09/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
23/05/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
05/07/20264th5/174%67%-0.07
19/09/20264th15/261%40%-0.21