5
Honor Society
3yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 5 · OR 79
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Lone Star | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |