
Itty Bitty Baby
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 87
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |