7

Itty Bitty Baby

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 87

Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 31/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 65 par31/01C5OR 65C8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 69 parC6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 75 par28/02C6OR 75C5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Lone Star 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 76 par18/04C5OR 76C8 @ Lone Star 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 73 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Lone Star 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 77 par16/05C8OR 77C5 @ Lone Star 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Remington Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 82 · 5f Fm 124 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 82 par12/09C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Remington Park?1st1st0
2026-06-13Lone Star?6th2nd+3
2026-05-16Lone Star?2nd2nd0
2026-05-03Lone Star?6th6th0
2026-04-18Lone Star?6th3rd+3
2026-03-28Sam Houston Race Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0128/0316/0512/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
14/02/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
28/02/20262nd15/261%86%+0.25
28/03/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
18/04/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
03/05/20266th15/261%55%-0.06
16/05/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
13/06/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
12/09/20261st10/147%100%+0.53