Jalapena Lena
3yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 1 · OR 84
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Remington Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Remington Park | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Lone Star | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |