4
Real Mischievous
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 80
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Remington Park | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lone Star | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Lone Star | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |