5

Belladore

2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 56

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Ellis Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS22/08C7C9 @ Churchill Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 44 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 44 par18/09C9OR 44projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Churchill Downs?8th8th0
2026-08-22Ellis Park?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
18/09/20268th25/10%36%+0.36