8
Check's On The Way
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 8 · OR 81
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 05/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 15/01/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |