5
Moment Of Valor
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 105
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 37/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |