4
Bliksem
2yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 96
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -19.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |