7
Et Al
2yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 62
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |