5
Toaster
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 105
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Chillingworth Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -5.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-12-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |