3
Frank Bullitt
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 105
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 88% | -0.07 |