1
King's Ride
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 107
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |