7
Proof He Goes
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 98
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |