IvyArcIvyArc
6

Seaver Way

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 78

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Golden Gate Fields 09/03/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1209/03C9C9 @ Golden State Racing 24/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 54 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark24/11/2024 · OR 54 parC9 @ Golden State Racing 15/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark15/12/2024 · OR 56 par15/12C9OR 56C9 @ Santa Anita 07/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark07/02/2025 · OR 60 parC6 @ Santa Anita 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f110y Fm 126 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 58 par12/06C6OR 58C6 @ Del Mar 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 65 parC6 @ Del Mar 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 73 par14/08C6OR 73C9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 5f 125 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 74 par13/09C9OR 74projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Los Alamitos Racecourse?1st5th−3
2026-08-14Del Mar?6th7th−1
2026-07-20Del Mar?4th5th−1
2026-06-12Santa Anita?8th9th−1
2025-02-07Santa Anita?2nd6th−3
2024-12-15Golden State Racing?7th11th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/037/0214/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/20248th25/10%0%0.00
24/11/20246th16/116%44%+0.29
15/12/20247th20/10%0%0.00
07/02/20252nd12/137%86%+0.49
12/06/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
20/07/20264th50/10%70%+0.70
14/08/20266th33/10%50%+0.50
13/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14