4
Empire Of Ash
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 72
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -16.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |