1
Fumano's Fire
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 75
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Speakeasy Stakes · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 46/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +14.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |