Off In The Corner

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 99

Santa Anita · Race 6 - Speakeasy Stakes · 5f

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼1

Strength36%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C3.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-05	Del Mar	?	3rd	-2th	+4	5.0
2026-08-01	Del Mar	?	1st	3rd	−2	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100

▲ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength61%

Delivery trend -25.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/08/2026	1st	5/1	74%	100%	+0.26
05/09/2026	3rd	11/2	71%	71%	+0.00