2

Omaha Spirit

2yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 86

Santa Anita · Race 6 - Speakeasy Stakes · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f Fm 1165/07C6C5 @ Colonial Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y Fm 117 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 89 par7/09C5OR 89projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Colonial Downs?1st1st0
2026-07-05Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
07/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09