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Dang Son

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 83

Santa Anita · Race 7 - American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse - Grade 1 · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 12225/07C6C6 @ Del Mar 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 72 par15/08C6OR 72C0 @ Del Mar 06/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 81 · 7f Fas 122 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 81 par6/09C?OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Del Mar?3rd3rd0
2026-08-15Del Mar?1st8th−6
2026-07-25Del Mar?7th14th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0715/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +17.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
15/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
06/09/20263rd33/10%50%+0.50