5
Emancipate
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 89
Santa Anita · Race 7 - American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +42.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |