2
Hughes
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 108
Santa Anita · Race 7 - American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 2/11 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |