3
Net Par
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 95
Santa Anita · Race 7 - American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 58/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |