2
Betelgeuse
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 64
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap · 2m 102y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Leicester | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength22%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 10/11 | 95% | 20% | -0.75 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |