4

League Of Justice

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 4 · OR 69

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap · 2m 102y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Only beaten just over 2½ lengths when seventh of 8 in 1½m course handicap last Saturday. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS23/0744 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m68y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/0844 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/0944 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m2f1y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 75 par15/094OR 755 @ Southwell 26/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m4f15y Std 130 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 72 par26/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Southwell57th7th0
2026-09-15Redcar47th6th+1
2026-09-05Newcastle43rd2nd+1
2026-08-11Hamilton44th3rd+1
2026-07-23Southwell46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0711/085/0915/0926/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20266th13/266%58%-0.07
11/08/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
05/09/20263rd66/10%75%+0.75
15/09/20267th33/10%0%0.00
26/09/20267th50/10%14%+0.14