Tinkety Tonk
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 62
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap · 2m 102y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Ffos Las | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +26.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |