High Hazard
2yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 1 · OR 67
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 16th | 12th | +3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 30/07/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 19/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |