Love Rome

2yo Colt · 9-8 · Draw 5 · OR 74

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼2

Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	Doncaster	3	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-08-09	Leicester	5	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-13	Ayr	3	2nd	0th	+2	5.0
2026-06-20	Newmarket	3	3rd	1st	+2	9.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 63/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength8%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/06/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34
13/07/2026	2nd	3/1	84%	75%	-0.09
09/08/2026	2nd	2/1	89%	80%	-0.09
10/09/2026	7th	22/1	0%	14%	+0.14