On Target
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 10 · OR 70
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Yarmouth | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +38.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |