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Prince Kameo

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 6 · OR 74

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

79%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive sort who won nurseries at Lingfield (all-weather) and Thirsk at the end of the summer. Another good effort when second of 5 at Beverley (8.5f) 17 days ago and should go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f1y Std 13330/0452 @ Yarmouth 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/0525 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sft 1339/0654 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 66 · 7f6y GF 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 66 par1/084OR 666 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 64 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 64 par27/086OR 645 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 7f218y Goo 130 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 69 par5/095OR 695 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 74 · 1m100y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 74 par16/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley52nd2nd0
2026-09-05Thirsk51st1st0
2026-08-27Lingfield61st2nd−1
2026-08-01Doncaster45th4th+1
2026-06-09Salisbury510th10th0
2026-05-20Yarmouth28th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/041/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 68/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20264th18/15%50%+0.45
20/05/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
09/06/202610th28/10%10%+0.10
01/08/20265th22/10%0%0.00
27/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
05/09/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
16/09/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13