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Roosike

2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 75

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

No impact in competitive Class 2 turf nurseries on her last 2 outings but won a 7f course novice prior to that and may fare better back here with her sights lowered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0624 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0742 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 76 par27/072OR 762 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 79 · 7f GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 79 par20/082OR 792 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 77 · 6f111y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 77 par10/092OR 77projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster29th5th+3
2026-08-20York214th10th+3
2026-07-27Southwell21st-3th+3
2026-07-17Wolverhampton42nd1st+1
2026-06-23Newbury23rd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0617/0727/0720/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20263rd28/10%50%+0.50
17/07/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
27/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
20/08/202614th33/10%24%+0.24
10/09/20269th33/10%20%+0.20