The Monkey King
2yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7 · OR 71
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -15.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 13% | -0.78 |