Tribal Appearance
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 70
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery · 1m 13y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bath | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |