12
Camino Del Ray
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 7 · OR 72
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 13y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Redcar | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 01/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 19/05/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 17/06/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |