1
Cristo
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 11 · OR 80
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 13y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 25/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |