7
Franschhoek
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 4 · OR 78
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 13y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 10-13 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 38% | -0.53 |