10
Golden Pharaoh
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2 · OR 73
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 13y
#12
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 25/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 95% | +0.79 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 06/02/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |