13
Wield
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 13 · OR 71
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 13y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |