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8

Maliqui

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Better effort in novices despite still showing signs of inexperience when 8 lengths second of 7 to Flying Pirate at Haydock last month. Open to further progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f36y Std 13318/0844 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f212y Sft 1273/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock42nd2nd0
2026-08-18Wolverhampton45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +60.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20265th10/382%64%-0.19
03/09/20262nd11/142%83%+0.41