IvyArcIvyArc
5

Pippy Boy

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 8

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

Ghaiyyath gelding. Looked for handicaps later on when 13¾ lengths ninth of 13 to Dontlookanyfurther in novice at Thirsk on debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength34%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk29th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20269th28/10%33%+0.33