IvyArcIvyArc
1

Cloud Forest

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 83

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up last 3 starts, showing further progress when beaten 1¾ lengths by Abundant in 12-runner 1m handicap at Newbury last time. Sets a clear standard now reverting to a minor event in first-time cheekpieces and a bold bid is expected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f50y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS19/0533 @ Leicester 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f GF 140 · HIGHER CLASS14/0733 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 139 · HIGHER CLASS5/0834 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 83 · 1m GF 140 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 83 par26/084OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury42nd2nd0
2026-08-05Kempton32nd1st+1
2026-07-14Leicester32nd1st+1
2026-05-19Nottingham36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0514/075/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20266th11/271%44%-0.27
14/07/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
05/08/20262nd10/1195%89%-0.06
26/08/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20