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6

Hozam

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 79

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped with promise when placed in a pair of maidens at Wolverhampton in June for George Boughey, runner-up in 7f event on second occasion. Sold for only 7,000gns afterwards, though, and was some way below that previous level when chasing home Reformation at Newcastle last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m142y Std 1301/0645 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f36y Std 13328/0654 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1305/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle42nd2nd0
2026-06-28Wolverhampton52nd3rd−1
2026-06-01Wolverhampton43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0628/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
28/06/20262nd6/492%91%-0.01
05/09/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14