12

Beauzon

7yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 5 · OR 67

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap · 6f 16y

#13

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed a remarkable 7-timer in typical fashion from the front at Wolverhampton in March. However, went into his shell on turf this summer and has fared no better back on all-weather on last 3 outings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 139 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 65 par13/036OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f20y Std 139 · below its mark16/03/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 5f15y Goo 137 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 72 par11/075OR 725 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 67 · 5f15y Goo 137 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f GF 137 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 67 par14/085OR 674 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 64 par4 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f17y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 71 par3/094OR 715 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f20y Std 135 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Southwell 26/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 69 · 7f15y Std 135 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 69 par26/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Southwell512th12th0
2026-09-18Wolverhampton510th10th0
2026-09-03Southwell412th11th+1
2026-08-22Newmarket46th5th+1
2026-08-14Newmarket511th11th0
2026-07-25Chester511th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0325/073/0926/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength9%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
16/03/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
11/07/202611th40/10%0%0.00
25/07/202611th66/10%0%0.00
14/08/202611th100/10%9%+0.09
22/08/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
03/09/202612th125/10%0%0.00
18/09/202610th80/10%0%0.00
26/09/202612th150/10%0%0.00