Blue Orbit
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 2 · OR 72
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap · 6f 16y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 20/08/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |