Hundred Caps
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 6 · OR 73
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap · 6f 16y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Carlisle | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |